Predictions from Pennsylvania Come True

Yesterday was Groundhog Day. It is a fun American tradition where a large rodent from Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania “whispers” in his caretakers ear to declare early spring or six more weeks of winter on each year of February 2. Everybody knows that winter has to end. Most want winter to end soon, save those who enjoy snow-related sports. We all logically know that a groundhog has no control over the weather, yet these predictions are followed by millions of Americans with hope for sunny days ahead.

Today, I, a life-long Pennsylvania resident I declare early victory with 1/3 of the bet behind this blog: Microsoft will no longer have majority market share on June 30, 2011.

Ladies and Gentlemen, Microsoft no longer has a majority browser market share.

W3Counter watched the traffic of the 32,245 customer websites for the 31 days of January 2010 and reported 49.7% Internet Explorer use. I knew this day was afoot and I predicted IE’s demise at the end February 2010 two months ago. Thanks to all of you who signed up for a free w3counter account, we all get the best global market share reports.

Dan Grossman of W3Counter, also of Pennsylvania, put together these beautiful graphs that show the trends specific to Microsoft Internet Explorer’s demise. Observe the users of the legacy product, Internet Explorer 6 declining over time and look how other Microsoft products fail to directly answer the version 6 loss.

As far as browsers go, the “what will we use” question has been answered: Open source browsers such as Firefox and Chrome seem to be taking Microsoft’s market share. GandhiCon 4 here we come.

Sure, I am a crazy Linux using, free software loving, groundhog watching, winter loathing, anti-Microsoft FUD spreading, Pennsylvanian who correctly predicted browser market share.

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3 Responses to Predictions from Pennsylvania Come True

  1. Darryl says:

    “As far as browsers go, the “what will we use” question has been answered: Open source browsers such as Firefox and Chrome seem to be taking Microsoft’s market share. GandhiCon 4 here we come.”

    Sorry, to take away you’re fun but safari and opera are not open source they are proprietary software, so should be added to the other proprietary software like IE, therefore proprietary software still is well over 50% of browsers in use.

    Not being accurate in reporting is a big thing on the internet, It appears to happen alot from the “open source” people, especially when they are trying to attack Microsoft.

    but lets face some REAL facts next time when you make sweeping statements, and consider some people (like myself) might actually check you’re statements, it should not be so easy to prove you’re again not quite being totally honest..

    How’s that bet of you’re going, willing to take me up on my offer ?? yet..

  2. eksortso says:

    Woah Darryl, one bet at a time!

    Beth Lynn is only reporting open source’s progress against one entity right now: Microsoft. She’s never made any other claim here.

    The competition is a good thing, whether or not it’s free, open-source, or proprietary software. I don’t want to see Microsoft fail as much as I want to see better software alternatives succeed. I personally think open source is the means, and I think software freedom has value beyond the four freedoms, but never beyond human freedom.

    Total software freedom is an aspiration that we as individuals can work to attain. Giving Microsoft a run for its money is something we can all enjoy together!

  3. Vance says:

    Sorry, to take away you’re fun but safari and opera are not open source they are proprietary software, so should be added to the other proprietary software like IE, proprietary software still is well over 50% of browsers in use.

    After all the time you’ve spent commenting, one would think you’d be familiar with the premise of this blog, which is that Microsoft’s market share will be less than 50% on June 30, 2011.

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